Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.236443 0.279313 0.325037 0.377159 0.434653 0.495873 0.565723
2024-10-27 0.182128 0.240489 0.307156 0.387835 0.481734 0.586538 0.711316
2024-11-03 0.144287 0.212148 0.294784 0.400191 0.528498 0.677204 0.860151
2024-11-10 0.115647 0.189205 0.284446 0.411885 0.573188 0.766141 1.009939
2024-11-17 0.087492 0.161185 0.263087 0.406238 0.594461 0.826434 1.126805
2024-11-24 0.069362 0.143344 0.252110 0.411629 0.628288 0.901974 1.263439
2024-12-01 0.052362 0.123299 0.234804 0.405818 0.645754 0.956211 1.374060
2024-12-08 0.037287 0.102437 0.212871 0.390527 0.648248 0.989837 1.458187
2024-12-15 0.029923 0.093508 0.207976 0.398912 0.682769 1.065540 1.597246
2024-12-22 0.021634 0.080046 0.193410 0.390829 0.692730 1.107830 1.692875
2024-12-29 0.018446 0.076824 0.195955 0.409210 0.741109 1.202911 1.859498
2025-01-05 0.013911 0.068601 0.188103 0.409862 0.762824 1.261320 1.977825
2025-01-12 0.010327 0.061455 0.181475 0.412365 0.787973 1.326086 2.107534
2025-01-19 0.008214 0.057693 0.180977 0.425053 0.828918 1.413887 2.270035
2025-01-26 0.006566 0.054597 0.181340 0.439034 0.872069 1.505487 2.439009
2025-02-02 0.005163 0.051528 0.181247 0.452000 0.913818 1.595712 2.607315
2025-02-09 0.003305 0.044710 0.171429 0.446299 0.925282 1.641982 2.715083
2025-02-16 0.002308 0.040947 0.168101 0.452235 0.955414 1.715788 2.862051
2025-02-23 0.001314 0.035342 0.158978 0.446157 0.965274 1.759515 2.967001
2025-03-02 0.000551 0.028730 0.145432 0.429917 0.957101 1.775671 3.032606
2025-03-09 0.000327 0.026735 0.144447 0.438905 0.991693 1.856562 3.191360
2025-03-16 0.000102 0.022456 0.135442 0.430306 0.995484 1.890432 3.282733
2025-03-23 0.000066 0.022291 0.139560 0.449927 1.048857 2.000927 3.485884